If the Bank of Canada cuts interest rates by 50bp as expected, it is expected that the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down. The Bank of Canada cut interest rates sharply for the second time in a row this month, and hinted that policymakers are prepared to slow down the pace of monetary easing. The bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points to 3.25%, bringing borrowing costs to the upper part of their expected range of neutral interest rates. However, they also hinted that after the sharp interest rate cut expected by the market and most economists, there may be a smaller interest rate cut again in 2025. Officials dropped their previous statement that they expected to further reduce borrowing costs. "With the policy interest rate greatly reduced, we expect that if the economic development is generally in line with expectations, monetary policy will adopt a more gradual approach," Bank of Canada Governor Mackler said in a prepared speech. "Looking ahead, we will evaluate the necessity of further reducing the policy interest rate one by one."Market News: The US CPI report in November may suggest that the core PCE index, the inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, may rise slightly to 2.9% in the last two months of 2024.Yizi International's share price rose 3.8% at the opening, while Hershey's share price fell 5%.
Schneider, former CEO of Nestle, was nominated to join the supervisory board of Siemens.CEO of ExxonMobil: Our next generation graphite will shorten the charging time and increase the cruising range of electric vehicles by 30%.The interest rate swap market predicts that the probability of the Bank of Canada cutting interest rates further in January next year is about 70%.
Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.Bank of Canada: The sharp interest rate cut is aimed at supporting economic growth and keeping CPI at a level close to 2%.Bank of Canada: Canada's economic growth in the fourth quarter seems weaker than expected. Bank of Canada: Canada's economic growth in the fourth quarter seems weaker than expected. The United States may impose new tariffs on Canadian products exported to the United States, increasing uncertainty and casting a shadow over the economic prospects. Consumer spending and household activities both picked up in the third quarter, indicating that lower interest rates began to boost household spending. The growth in the fourth quarter may be weaker than the 2% annualized level expected by the central bank, and the average inflation rate is expected to be close to 2% in the next few years.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14